Description

This analysis provides a forecast of GRT6719 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.123969 0.138145 0.153805 0.172483 0.194279 0.219061 0.249585
2024-10-13 0.100584 0.118788 0.140541 0.168806 0.205094 0.250869 0.314228
2024-10-20 0.086762 0.107204 0.133200 0.169447 0.219950 0.289878 0.397964
2024-10-27 0.074893 0.095744 0.123554 0.164542 0.225587 0.317053 0.473006
2024-11-03 0.069066 0.091133 0.121914 0.169779 0.245955 0.369764 0.604489
2024-11-10 0.064107 0.086891 0.119919 0.173754 0.264722 0.424274 0.759978
2024-11-17 0.058414 0.080814 0.114263 0.170840 0.271166 0.458620 0.890365
2024-11-24 0.053340 0.075067 0.108329 0.166396 0.273784 0.486111 1.018075
2024-12-01 0.047999 0.068389 0.100172 0.156964 0.265344 0.489095 1.088226
2024-12-08 0.045145 0.065310 0.097457 0.156604 0.274098 0.530745 1.282638
2024-12-15 0.043444 0.063886 0.097276 0.160711 0.292503 0.599638 1.601937
2024-12-22 0.040517 0.060221 0.092923 0.156387 0.292292 0.623514 1.791827
2024-12-29 0.039333 0.059420 0.093584 0.162114 0.316057 0.719492 2.343486
2025-01-05 0.036997 0.056504 0.090234 0.159439 0.320156 0.763764 2.736037
2025-01-12 0.035380 0.054697 0.088725 0.160358 0.333228 0.840598 3.393139
2025-01-19 0.033222 0.051794 0.084927 0.155937 0.332013 0.872225 3.856911
2025-01-26 0.032409 0.051200 0.085415 0.160880 0.356483 1.002940 5.221016
2025-02-02 0.031509 0.050376 0.085368 0.164612 0.378696 1.138880 7.035504
2025-02-09 0.029991 0.048314 0.082701 0.161912 0.381791 1.201160 8.396693
2025-02-16 0.028446 0.046110 0.079582 0.157777 0.379809 1.241894 9.702760
2025-02-23 0.026544 0.043144 0.074732 0.148982 0.361928 1.204045 9.905361
2025-03-02 0.025608 0.041942 0.073398 0.148646 0.370753 1.297507 12.504927
2025-03-09 0.025124 0.041564 0.073725 0.152480 0.394127 1.480281 18.134313